It's rigged!
The Commission of Presidential Debates, governed by the DNC and the RNC have set a threshold of 15% support to get on stage. While I think that any party that is on the ballot in all 50 states should have a say as to who debates, I want to leave that aside for a moment, as there is something far more dark lurking.
So polls have Johnson anywhere from 7-11% nationally. If you break down by state, Johnson polls over 15% in 10 states, and over 10% in 42. That is not insignificant, especially if one looks at the intermountain west, which is crucial for the two parties. In many of those states, Johnson is nearing 20% or better. Why does that matter? Simple. Red states like ID, UT, WY, and AZ are in play. Blue states like CO, NM, and NV are also in play. I think NM is a goner for Dems, and UT is looking very hard at Johnson. Only a couple of these states and we are throwing the election to the House of Representatives. So what is so insidious that I am focusing on it, rather than the stupid rules of the Commission?
Look at the make up of polls. Most of these polls are squeezing the independents, focusing on Dems and Reps. Nationally, the make up of the electorate shows a majority as "independent" and then about 25-30% affiliate with each of the two major parties. And yet the polls are often done with 35+% of each party. Does that alter a poll? yes. Especially in a year, when the majority of people are unhappy with the two parties candidates. So the Libertarian doesn't get in.
Another way that the polls are being manipulated, is by age group. Some of the polls focus entirely on Baby Boomers and Gen Xers. Obviously these two groups make up a majority, age-wise, but to leave out Millenials completely? I know that Millenials are not reliable as voters, but this year, they got pumped for the Bern, and guess where they are now? Hilary? Nope. Trump? wrong! If you said Johnson, then you win! I wonder if leaving out a group that makes up nearly 1/3 of the electorate would make a difference in the result?
And while this doesn't effect national polls, guess which candidate gets the most active military support? Obviously Hilary does not, but neither does the Republican, Trump. Wonder when the last time that Republican's didn't lead in that group? Answer? Johnson.
So the polls are misrepresented, and guess what? Single digits for the Libertarian, thus no debate. For the record, it is consistent in polling that Johnson draws way more from the Democrats than Republicans. If I was Trump, or the RNC, I would want Johnson on that stage.
Feel the Johnson! Leave me alone, I leave you alone!
And finally, let me just link to the Balanced Rebellion! A great video, and very informative.
http://balancedrebellion.com/
So polls have Johnson anywhere from 7-11% nationally. If you break down by state, Johnson polls over 15% in 10 states, and over 10% in 42. That is not insignificant, especially if one looks at the intermountain west, which is crucial for the two parties. In many of those states, Johnson is nearing 20% or better. Why does that matter? Simple. Red states like ID, UT, WY, and AZ are in play. Blue states like CO, NM, and NV are also in play. I think NM is a goner for Dems, and UT is looking very hard at Johnson. Only a couple of these states and we are throwing the election to the House of Representatives. So what is so insidious that I am focusing on it, rather than the stupid rules of the Commission?
Look at the make up of polls. Most of these polls are squeezing the independents, focusing on Dems and Reps. Nationally, the make up of the electorate shows a majority as "independent" and then about 25-30% affiliate with each of the two major parties. And yet the polls are often done with 35+% of each party. Does that alter a poll? yes. Especially in a year, when the majority of people are unhappy with the two parties candidates. So the Libertarian doesn't get in.
Another way that the polls are being manipulated, is by age group. Some of the polls focus entirely on Baby Boomers and Gen Xers. Obviously these two groups make up a majority, age-wise, but to leave out Millenials completely? I know that Millenials are not reliable as voters, but this year, they got pumped for the Bern, and guess where they are now? Hilary? Nope. Trump? wrong! If you said Johnson, then you win! I wonder if leaving out a group that makes up nearly 1/3 of the electorate would make a difference in the result?
And while this doesn't effect national polls, guess which candidate gets the most active military support? Obviously Hilary does not, but neither does the Republican, Trump. Wonder when the last time that Republican's didn't lead in that group? Answer? Johnson.
So the polls are misrepresented, and guess what? Single digits for the Libertarian, thus no debate. For the record, it is consistent in polling that Johnson draws way more from the Democrats than Republicans. If I was Trump, or the RNC, I would want Johnson on that stage.
Feel the Johnson! Leave me alone, I leave you alone!
And finally, let me just link to the Balanced Rebellion! A great video, and very informative.
http://balancedrebellion.com/
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